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Author: firechief | Created: 2017-04-08 06:28:57
Subject: Ok, time to make some educated guesses...
Nice & anonymous, so you can say what you really think :)

http://www.strawpoll.me/12700168

I'll get the average of the votes, and then at the end of the season calculate the average poll differential to last year to see how close our guesswork is.
Last Edited: 2017-04-08 08:15:29 by firechief
    Author: dummy | Created: 2017-04-08 08:47:43
    Subject: Re: Ok, time to make some educated guesses...
    In my case it's a totally uneducated guess :)
    Last Edited: 2017-04-08 08:47:43 by dummy
    Author: timfoden | Created: 2017-04-08 08:48:48
    Subject: Re: Ok, time to make some educated guesses...
    Well I voted 2 seconds... but the only evidence I have for this is berniw's video of Corkscrew where he puts in a 1:12.37 lap, and in 2016 the poll position time for this track was was 2.10.xx oh no wait it was 2:09.044 -- I should have re-checked before making my choice in the poll (should have been 3 seconds), but I can't change it now!

    ATM my version of Mouse is probably more in the 6-9 seconds slower range, if it even manages any sort of clean lap. :)

    Cheers, Tim.
    Last Edited: 2017-04-08 08:48:48 by timfoden
    Author: berniw | Created: 2017-04-08 14:56:23
    Subject: Re: Ok, time to make some educated guesses...
    Depends on the track;-) Everywhere where "downforce to grip" is important the times will suffer quite a bit because of the "aerodynamic runaway effect" (because of less grip you have to go slower, and this in turn reduces downforce even more, so for 1% less friction you lose more than 1% performance). This effect is a bit counteracted because of the load sensitivity, but by far not enough.

    To corkscrew: I did a 1:12:37 with my gamepad there, with a quick and dirty set up and quite some fuel left to burn, so I think with wheel/pedals, some setup work and minimal fuel a 1:11.2 to 1:10.8 should be doable for me (in practice).

    For the qualifying it is much more interesting: Because there are just 3 laps you cannot wear off the tires to the 95° Celsius window, so parts of the lap will suffer from temperatures of 105° to 115° C or so I guess (or maybe sombody implemented a total rub off initial lap, with a cooldown lap, then the only fast lap, who knows... whoops, better had not told that;-) )

    So here my guess (Corkscrew):
    - Qualifying: 1:13:8 (-> almost + 5s), with "tricks" 1:12:38 ;-)
    - Race (clean lap, in case accidently all fits together): 1:12:8

    Alpine-1:
    - Qualifying: +7s

    Kind regards

    Bernhard
    Last Edited: 2017-04-08 15:19:19 by berniw
      Author: firechief | Created: 2017-04-10 19:08:09
      Subject: Re: Ok, time to make some educated guesses...
      Actually, looking at your video driving around Corkscrew, your tyres were still only in the 70 degrees range when you started the 3rd lap. It was more a case of them not being hot enough, rather than too hot. Its one of the shorter tracks (the others being e-track-1 and dirt-3) where I think this will be a problem, but there's plenty of longer ones where overheating will be a factor. Qualification is certainly more interesting this year - an all-out sprint for 3 laps won't cut it.
      Last Edited: 2017-04-10 19:08:54 by firechief